Over 55% of the SSP command is prone to waterlogging and
salinisation. The plans to prevent this, from occurring are based on completely
untried methodologies and a very high level of technological sophistication that
has not been tested, even on a pilot scale, anywhere in India under realistic field
conditions.
The canal operation policy of the SSP is also based on several desirable
but completely untried options. The large quantities of water that will be
supplied to Baroda, Bharuch and Khera districts in the initial stages of the
project will lead to large-scale cultivation of water-intensive crops. As the
experience of the Ukai command shows, it will be politically impossible to
subsequently reduce the amount of water allocated and expect farmers to switch
back to less remunerative crops.
The power benefits of the SSP are vastly exaggerated. Even though the
installed capacity is 1450 MW, the highest firm power generation is only 439
MW, dropping to 50 MW once the canals start operating. In the absence of the
NSP in the initial stages power benefits will drop by at least 28%. The SSP will
consume more power than it produces for Gujarat.
The needy regions of Gujarat - Saurashtra, Kutch and North Gujarat,
are unlikely to get any of the overall benefits of this project. The already rich
and politically powerful "mainline corridor" of Central Gujarat will certainly
benefit, further cementing its dominance in the state. Kutch and Saurashtra will
doubly suffer: the SSP already eats up 80% of the 8th 5-year plan allocation for
Gujarat, leaving no money for provision of alternative water supply schemes to
these needy areas. Several alternate supply schemes available with the state
district irrigation boards are languishing for lack of funds.
The SSP appears to be completely unviable from a financial standpoint.
Only about 10% of total project costs have been spent to date. Further foreign
funding is unlikely to be obtained, and the probability of domestic funding is
remote.
The SSP needs to be comprehensively reviewed by an unbiased body to
ascertain whether the vast costs of the projects will translate into benefits at
the scale claimed by the project authorities. The Government of India owes at
least this much to the people of Gujarat and the country.
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